Dealer Bust Rates: Mapping Card Probabilities for Standard Decks

Blackjack Probability: When Will the Dealer Bust?

To make the best standing choices in Blackjack, you must know the dealer's probability of busting (exceeding 21) based on the card they show. Let us look at the statistics.

1. Weak Up-Cards (5 and 6)

When the dealer shows a 5 or 6, they have the highest bust probability—around 42%. You should stand on weak hands like 12 or 13 and let the dealer take the risk.

2. Strong Up-Cards (Aces and 10s)

When showing an Ace or 10, the dealer's bust rate drops to under 20%. Message support on WhatsApp to get your demo account and try our tables today!